Final Thoughts

I’ve won BIG playing Baccarat over 300 shoes and 18 months now (+900 net units won). Can I prove it? No. Can I 100% guarantee it will continue? No. I’m a CPA/Auditor by trade and know everything I've said here could easily be made up. And even if it is all true (and it is), Baccarat is a negative expectation game and my huge success the last 300 shoes could just be short term variance - i.e. I've just been lucky. Those are the simple truths. But I'm 99% sure my success will continue because of the numbers/stats my play has produced over the 300 shoes i.e. winning 900+ units, winning 54% of my hands played, winning 119 units in a shoe vs. a max loss of 6, winning 266 units my last 19 shoes, etc. Those numbers are stunning. So as I mentioned earlier, I’m willing to do as much up front “shoe testing” and "due diligence" as possible to show any potential partner how this play will work going forward.

I’ve taken the liberty of calling 300 shoes played over 18 months “long-term”. But that’s my opinion. I’m sure there are many math, +EV guys out there thinking I’m either making this up or that 300 shoes is still short-term variance. That’s fine. I can’t even argue against the -EV logic and won’t try. When I began this play around 18 months ago I only started with a miniscule $10 unit. Why? Because being a math, +EV guy myself, I honestly didn’t think it would hold up long-term. But it has now for over 300 shoes.

To any potential partner out there, I offer no guarantees. I forget who it was but a famous gambler once said if you want a guarantee buy a toaster. As I’ve hammered home here, Baccarat is a negative expectation game. Which means you shouldn’t be able to win at it long-term. But as documented here, I now believe I have come up with the “formula” (i.e. patterns and betting strategy) to beat the game BIG over the long-term.

As I said in Reason #3 in the Overview, I’m going to start play on 100 new shoes and document it going forward in the Play Results tab. This is so anyone interested in partnering can monitor my current play and note the ebbs and flows. At times, I will add commentary that will hopefully shed light on how I look at the game.

Again, I’m looking for ONE wealthy person or syndicate the partner with. Once I find that, I will take down this website.

Sorry, but I’m not interested in writing up what I do and selling it for $299, $599 or $1299. I actually play about 10 shoes a week under the radar and make money – so I am not desperate. But I’m older and my health isn’t great, so I’ve decided I’d like to try to hit the casinos for millions and retire. Since I don’t personally have close to the $500K - $10M Bankroll needed to play at a high roller level to make millions, I need to find one wealthy person who can easily fund that level of play and partner with him/her. My strong preference is to teach my partner how I play and let them do the playing. I have very little interest in taking someone else’s money and playing for them. In my experience, that never works out too well, though it’s not uncommon in the professional poker world for investors to buy a piece of a particular player’s action.

I estimate it will take me about ½ to full day to teach someone what I do. And then we’d play as many practice shoes as needed to ensure they have it down 100% and play as I do. It’s not hard. The hardest part is having the patience and discipline needed to wait for the great shoe - and then bet it correctly. I’d say my play is about 90% mechanical/objective. There is always room for subjectivity, such as bet sizing (i.e. sometimes I start with a ½ unit bet, sometimes 1 unit or more depending on the win/loss status of the shoe).

The way I play is very relaxing yet exciting. That’s a very rare combination when it comes to gambling. It’s such a great feeling when you sit down to play and know your potential max win is 100+ units, while your potential max loss is only -6 units – and knowing it takes a lot to lose the maximum -6 units in a shoe. The way I play also has a lot of exciting “high roller” characteristics too. For example, I’ve bet as high as 24 units before, starting with only a ½ unit bet.

Any potential partner must be able and willing to play a fair volume of shoes. I’d say a minimum of 20 shoes per month. I try to play 10 shoes per week. For example, if you were to travel to a casino once a month for 4 days and play 5 shoes each day, that would be 20 shoes a month. That’s about the minimum needed. FYI – I only play against real cards in a 6 deck shoe. I have never played online versus a computer and never will. All of my success has come playing against real cards.

If you meet the requirements I’ve outlined here and are interested, please send me an email via the Contact page.